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Live results for Wyoming primary elections

Four Republicans look like the top contenders to win the open governor’s seat.

Zac Freeland/Vox
Dylan Scott covers health care for Vox. He has reported on health policy for more than 10 years, writing for Governing magazine, Talking Points Memo and STAT before joining Vox in 2017.

Wyoming’s next governor will almost assuredly be picked in Tuesday’s Republican primary election, capping off one of the state’s most expensive campaigns ever.

Half a dozen Republicans are running to replace outgoing Gov. Matt Mead, one of the most popular governors in the country. Given Wyoming’s blood-red hue — this state voted for Donald Trump by nearly 50 freaking points — whoever emerges from the GOP primary is the next governor-in-waiting, barring some shocking twist in the next few months.

GOP megadonor Foster Friess headlines the Republican field. His closest contenders appear to be State Treasurer Mark Gordon, business executive Sam Galeotos, and attorney Harriet Hageman, the only woman on the GOP ballot.

Polls close at 7 pm local time, 9 pm Eastern. Live results are below, powered by Decision Desk.

Wyoming governor: the race to replace Matt Mead

Friess, who got very rich running a mutual fund in the 1990s, has already put more than $2 million of his own money into his gubernatorial campaign. He’s trying to cross the line from being a major Republican donor — he regularly gives millions of dollars to GOP candidates in election years — to a Republican politician. He has notably gotten the support of Donald Trump Jr.

But several other candidates have raised $1 million or more; state observers say this could end up being Wyoming’s most expensive election ever. And Friess doesn’t seem to have pulled away from the field based on the polling we’ve seen.

A poll this month from the Trafalgar Group found Friess leading the GOP primary at 21 percent, but Gordon was right behind him at 20 percent. Hageman received 16 percent, Galeotos was just shy of 10 percent, and 20 percent of voters were still undecided.

In such a wide-open field, anything could happen on primary day. But Friess has spent a lot of money to buy his ticket to the governor’s mansion.

Democrats have to run their primary, too, of course, even if none of the prominent election forecasters give them even a snowball’s chance of winning the November election.

We don’t have any polling, but Mary Throne is a former Democratic leader in the state legislature who has the support of some of the top Democrats in the state and has raised the most money — if there is a frontrunner, she’s probably it.

Her competitors don’t have quite the same profile: Ken Casner ran and lost a campaign for the state legislature in 2016. Rex Wilde had a failed Senate bid in 2014, and Michael Allen Green rounds out the field.