The battlefield to control the House of Representatives is huge
Democrats took back the House. They needed to flip 24 seats to regain control of the chamber.
They did better than that. So far, Democrats have flipped 37 seats, and seven races still haven’t been called.
Democrats faced a difficult congressional map this year. Republicans’ landslide wins in the 2010 midterm cycle let the party gerrymander the congressional map, giving themselves an advantage. Democrats needed at least a 7-point advantage in votes nationally to have a shot at retaking the House — they got at least 7.5.
Democrats have repeatedly shown that they are more enthusiastic about voting in this midterm election than Republican voters are. There have been surges in primary turnout for Democrats, which indicates high levels of political involvement and enthusiasm. Democratic candidates have also been out-fundraising their Republican opponents across the country.
And historically, the president’s party is disadvantaged going into the midterm elections. Donald Trump’s historic unpopularity in his first years as president only compounded that problem for Republicans.
Arizona US House 2
The Cook Political Report rates this race Lean Democratic
DEM | Ann Kirkpatrick | 161,000 | 55% | |
GOP | Lea Peterson | 133,083 | 45% |
California US House 49
The Cook Political Report rates this race Lean Democratic
DEM | Mike Levin | 139,763 | 56% | |
GOP | Diane Harkey | 111,967 | 44% |
Colorado US House 6
The Cook Political Report rates this race Lean Democratic
DEM | Jason Crow | 187,639 | 54% | |
GOP | Mike Coffman | 148,685 | 43% | |
LIB | Kat Martin | 5,886 | 2% | |
OTH | Dan Chapin (Unaffiliated Party) | 4,607 | 1% |
Iowa US House 1
The Cook Political Report rates this race Lean Democratic
DEM | Abby Finkenauer | 170,342 | 51% | |
GOP | Rod Blum | 153,442 | 46% | |
LIB | Troy Hageman | 10,285 | 3% |
Illinois US House 6
The Cook Political Report rates this race Lean Democratic
DEM | Sean Casten | 166,942 | 53% | |
GOP | Peter Roskam | 145,655 | 47% |
Kansas US House 3
The Cook Political Report rates this race Lean Democratic
DEM | Sharice Davids | 164,253 | 53% | |
GOP | Kevin Yoder | 136,104 | 44% | |
LIB | Chris Clemmons | 7,643 | 2% |
Michigan US House 11
The Cook Political Report rates this race Lean Democratic
DEM | Haley Stevens | 181,706 | 52% | |
GOP | Lena Epstein | 158,331 | 45% | |
LIB | Leonard Schwartz | 5,793 | 2% | |
OTH | Cooper Nye (Unaffiliated Party) | 4,726 | 1% |
Minnesota US House 2
The Cook Political Report rates this race Lean Democratic
DEM | Angela Craig | 177,971 | 53% | |
GOP | Jason Lewis | 159,373 | 47% |
Minnesota US House 3
The Cook Political Report rates this race Lean Democratic
DEM | Dean Phillips | 202,402 | 56% | |
GOP | Erik Paulsen | 160,838 | 44% |
New Jersey US House 11
The Cook Political Report rates this race Lean Democratic
DEM | Mikie Sherrill | 173,166 | 56% | |
GOP | Jay Webber | 130,585 | 42% | |
OTH | Robert Crook (Honesty Integrity Compassion Party) | 4,657 | 2% | |
LIB | Ryan Martinez | 1,286 | 0% |
Nevada US House 3
The Cook Political Report rates this race Lean Democratic
DEM | Susie Lee | 147,048 | 52% | |
GOP | Danny Tarkanian | 121,505 | 43% | |
LIB | Steve Brown | 4,521 | 2% | |
OTH | David Goossen (Unaffiliated Party) | 3,612 | 1% | |
OTH | Harry Vickers (Independent American Party) | 3,459 | 1% | |
OTH | Gil Eisner (Unaffiliated Party) | 1,878 | 1% | |
OTH | Tony Gumina (Unaffiliated Party) | 1,536 | 1% |
Nevada US House 4
The Cook Political Report rates this race Lean Democratic
DEM | Steven Horsford | 120,888 | 52% | |
GOP | Cresent Hardy | 101,748 | 44% | |
OTH | Warren Markowitz (Independent American Party) | 3,156 | 1% | |
OTH | Rodney Smith (Unaffiliated Party) | 2,704 | 1% | |
LIB | Gregg Luckner | 2,185 | 1% | |
OTH | Dean McGonigle (Unaffiliated Party) | 2,011 | 1% |
Pennsylvania US House 7
The Cook Political Report rates this race Lean Democratic
DEM | Susan Wild | 137,122 | 53% | |
GOP | Martin Nothstein | 111,862 | 44% | |
LIB | Tim Silfies | 7,899 | 3% |
Virginia US House 10
The Cook Political Report rates this race Lean Democratic
DEM | Jennifer Wexton | 206,114 | 56% | |
GOP | Barbara Comstock | 160,537 | 44% |
Minnesota US House 1
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
GOP | Jim Hagedorn | 146,203 | 50% | |
DEM | Dan Feehan | 144,894 | 50% |
California US House 10
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Josh Harder | 103,442 | 51% | |
GOP | Jeff Denham | 97,748 | 49% |
California US House 25
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Katie Hill | 113,613 | 53% | |
GOP | Steve Knight | 99,893 | 47% |
California US House 39
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Gil Cisneros | 113,075 | 51% | |
GOP | Young Kim | 109,580 | 49% |
California US House 45
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Katie Porter | 145,895 | 52% | |
GOP | Mimi Walters | 136,902 | 48% |
California US House 48
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Harley Rouda | 141,903 | 53% | |
GOP | Dana Rohrabacher | 124,816 | 47% |
Florida US House 26
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | 119,746 | 51% | |
GOP | Carlos Curbelo | 115,657 | 49% |
Florida US House 27
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Donna Shalala | 130,671 | 52% | |
GOP | Maria Elvira Salazar | 115,575 | 46% | |
IND | Mayra Joli | 6,255 | 2% |
Iowa US House 3
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Cindy Axne | 175,642 | 49% | |
GOP | David Young | 167,932 | 47% | |
LIB | Jack Holder | 7,267 | 2% | |
OTH | Mark Elworth, Jr (Legal Marijuana Now Party) | 2,015 | 1% | |
GRN | Paul Knupp | 1,888 | 1% | |
IND | Joe Grandanette | 1,301 | 0% |
Illinois US House 12
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
GOP | Michael Bost | 129,216 | 52% | |
DEM | Brendan Kelly | 111,004 | 45% | |
GRN | Randy Auxier | 7,592 | 3% |
Illinois US House 14
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Lauren Underwood | 132,884 | 52% | |
GOP | Randy Hultgren | 123,059 | 48% |
Kansas US House 2
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
GOP | Steve Watkins | 124,895 | 48% | |
DEM | Paul Davis | 120,421 | 46% | |
LIB | Kelly Standley | 14,402 | 6% |
Kentucky US House 6
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
GOP | Andy Barr | 154,468 | 51% | |
DEM | Amy McGrath | 144,730 | 48% | |
LIB | Frank Harris | 2,150 | 1% | |
IND | Rikka Wallin | 1,011 | 0% | |
IND | James Cermalio | 0% |
Maine US House 2
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Jared Golden | 139,224 | 51% | |
GOP | Bruce L Poliquin | 136,286 | 49% | |
IND | Tiffany Bond | 0% | ||
IND | Will Hoar | 0% |
New York US House 19
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Antonio Delgado | 132,001 | 50% | |
GOP | John Faso | 124,408 | 47% | |
GRN | Steve Greenfield | 4,037 | 2% | |
OTH | Diane Neal (Friends of Diane Neal Party) | 2,619 | 1% |
North Carolina US House 13
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
GOP | Ted Budd | 145,962 | 52% | |
DEM | Kathy Manning | 128,764 | 46% | |
LIB | Tom Bailey | 5,439 | 2% | |
GRN | Robert Corriher | 2,792 | 1% |
New Jersey US House 3
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Andy Kim | 150,405 | 50% | |
GOP | Tom MacArthur | 146,978 | 49% | |
OTH | Lawrence Berlinski (Constitution Party) | 3,845 | 1% |
New Jersey US House 7
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Tom Malinowski | 162,724 | 52% | |
GOP | Leonard Lance | 147,637 | 47% | |
GRN | Diane Moxley | 2,569 | 1% | |
OTH | Greg Mele (Freedom Responsibility Action Party) | 2,241 | 1% |
New Mexico US House 2
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Xochitl Torres Small | 99,440 | 51% | |
GOP | Yvette Herrell | 96,712 | 49% |
New York US House 22
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Anthony Brindisi | 117,931 | 50% | |
GOP | Claudia Tenney | 116,638 | 50% |
Ohio US House 1
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
GOP | Steve Chabot | 151,107 | 52% | |
DEM | Aftab Pureval | 135,467 | 46% | |
LIB | Dirk Kubala | 5,126 | 2% |
Ohio US House 12
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
GOP | Troy Balderson | 170,880 | 52% | |
DEM | Danny O'Connor | 155,177 | 47% | |
GRN | Joe Manchik | 4,442 | 1% |
Pennsylvania US House 1
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
GOP | Brian Fitzpatrick | 168,841 | 51% | |
DEM | Henry Wallace | 160,098 | 49% |
Texas US House 7
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Lizzie Pannill Fletcher | 127,568 | 53% | |
GOP | John Culberson | 115,418 | 47% |
Texas US House 32
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Colin Allred | 143,868 | 52% | |
GOP | Pete Sessions | 126,014 | 46% | |
LIB | Melina Baker | 5,447 | 2% |
Utah US House 4
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
GOP | Mia Love | 131,230 | 50% |
DEM | Ben McAdams | 129,714 | 50% |
Virginia US House 2
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Elaine Luria | 139,352 | 51% | |
GOP | Scott Taylor | 133,335 | 49% |
Virginia US House 7
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Abigail Spanberger | 175,818 | 50% | |
GOP | Dave Brat | 169,293 | 48% | |
LIB | Joseph Walton | 4,220 | 1% |
Washington US House 8
The Cook Political Report rates this race a Toss-Up
DEM | Kim Schrier | 150,213 | 53% | |
GOP | Dino Rossi | 135,435 | 47% |
Arkansas US House 2
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | French Hill | 131,974 | 52% | |
DEM | Clarke Tucker | 116,088 | 46% | |
LIB | Joe Swafford | 5,187 | 2% |
California US House 50
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Duncan Hunter | 113,590 | 53% | |
DEM | Ammar Campa-Najjar | 102,688 | 47% |
Florida US House 15
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Ross Spano | 151,356 | 53% | |
DEM | Kristen Carlson | 134,076 | 47% |
Florida US House 16
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Vern Buchanan | 197,433 | 55% | |
DEM | David Shapiro | 164,357 | 45% |
Georgia US House 6
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
DEM | Lucy McBath | 160,139 | 51% | |
GOP | Karen Handel | 156,875 | 49% |
Georgia US House 7
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Rob Woodall | 140,430 | 50% |
DEM | Carolyn Bourdeaux | 140,011 | 50% |
Illinois US House 13
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Rodney Davis | 136,038 | 51% | |
DEM | Betsy Londrigan | 131,447 | 49% |
Iowa US House 4
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Steve King | 157,607 | 50% | |
DEM | J.D. Scholten | 147,223 | 47% | |
LIB | Charles Aldrich | 6,326 | 2% | |
IND | Edward Peterson | 1,960 | 1% |
Minnesota US House 8
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Pete Stauber | 159,388 | 51% | |
DEM | Joe Radinovich | 141,972 | 45% | |
OTH | Ray Sandman (Independence Party) | 12,768 | 4% |
Missouri US House 2
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Ann Wagner | 190,008 | 51% | |
DEM | Cort VanOstran | 174,486 | 47% | |
LIB | Larry Kirk | 4,184 | 1% | |
GRN | David Justus Arnold | 1,715 | 0% |
Montana US House 1
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Greg Gianforte | 251,290 | 51% | |
DEM | Kathleen Williams | 226,241 | 46% | |
LIB | Elinor Swanson | 13,917 | 3% |
North Carolina US House 2
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | George Holding | 167,382 | 51% | |
DEM | Linda Coleman | 148,959 | 46% | |
LIB | Japheth Matemu | 9,427 | 3% |
Nebraska US House 2
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Don Bacon | 152,315 | 53% | |
DEM | Kara Eastman | 134,412 | 47% |
New York US House 11
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
DEM | Max Rose | 95,458 | 53% | |
GOP | Dan Donovan | 84,337 | 47% | |
GRN | Henry Bardel | 700 | 0% |
New York US House 24
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | John M Katko | 129,276 | 53% | |
DEM | Dana Balter | 114,102 | 47% |
New York US House 27
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Chris Collins | 134,251 | 49% | |
DEM | Nathan McMurray | 132,041 | 49% | |
OTH | Larry Piegza (Reform Party) | 5,773 | 2% |
Pennsylvania US House 10
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Scott Perry | 148,790 | 51% | |
DEM | George Scott | 140,956 | 49% |
Pennsylvania US House 16
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | George Kelly | 132,088 | 51% | |
DEM | Ronald Dinicola | 121,585 | 47% | |
LIB | Ebert Beeman | 2,902 | 1% |
South Carolina US House 1
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
DEM | Joe Cunningham | 131,727 | 52% | |
GOP | Katie Arrington | 123,445 | 48% |
Texas US House 23
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Will Hurd | 103,164 | 49% | |
DEM | Gina Ortiz Jones | 102,255 | 49% | |
LIB | Ruben Corvalan | 4,418 | 2% |
Texas US House 31
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | John Carter | 144,393 | 51% | |
DEM | Mary Jennings Hegar | 135,843 | 48% | |
LIB | Jason Hope | 4,955 | 2% |
Virginia US House 5
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Denver Riggleman | 165,468 | 53% | |
DEM | Leslie Cockburn | 145,355 | 47% |
Washington US House 3
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Jaime Herrera Beutler | 157,745 | 53% | |
DEM | Carolyn Long | 140,651 | 47% |
Washington US House 5
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Cathy McMorris Rodgers | 144,873 | 55% | |
DEM | Lisa Brown | 117,668 | 45% |
Wisconsin US House 1
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Bryan Steil | 175,089 | 55% | |
DEM | Randy Bryce | 136,091 | 42% | |
IND | Ken Yorgan | 9,903 | 3% |
West Virginia US House 3
The Cook Political Report rates this race as Lean Republican
GOP | Carol Miller | 98,643 | 56% | |
DEM | Richard Ojeda II | 76,338 | 44% |