All the times Joe Biden was about to decide whether he's running for president

Is Joe Biden going to run for president? The political world has been wondering for months, and according to a Monday morning report by NBC News's Leigh Ann Caldwell and Kristen Welker, it looked like we were about to find out — the vice president "could" make a decision "within 48 hours."

But wait! By Monday afternoon, things didn't look so clear:

Three sources close to @VP telling me he's expected to announce he is running but the sources are all urging caution on 48-hr timeline

— Ed Henry (@edhenry) October 19, 2015

A person involved in @JoeBiden deliberations tells me he "has not reached an actual decision and therefore there is no announcement coming"

— Jonathan Karl (@jonkarl) October 19, 2015

As Caldwell and Welker acknowledged in their initial report, it's far from the first time that anonymous sources have told reporters Biden is on the verge of making up his mind. At first, he was supposed to decide by the end of the summer. Then that slid back to early October. Now here we are in late October, still waiting, with ballot deadlines drawing ever nearer.

Considering what Biden's been through this year, it's understandable that he's having a tough time deciding— but at this point, it's getting pretty absurd. Here are some of the past timetables that have been floated in the press (with a hat tip to the Huffington Post's Michael Calderone and Sam Stein for compiling some of these), and you can also check out Philip Bump's version in chart form at the Washington Post:

June 17, 2015

• When will Biden decide? By August 1.
• According to whom? "Two Democratic sources who have been in contact with his family," per US News & World Report.

July 18, 2015

• When will Biden decide? "At the end of the summer, targeted for September."
• According to whom? "People close to Biden," per the Huffington Post.

August 1, 2015

• When will Biden decide? Expected by early September.
• According to whom? "Confidants," per the New York Times.

August 8, 2015

• When will Biden decide? A decision is expected shortly after he returns from a vacation that ends August 13.
• According to whom? "His aides and supporters," per the Associated Press.

September 4, 2015

• When will Biden decide? His plans "could remain unsettled well into the fall."
• According to whom? Biden himself, per the Wall Street Journal.

September 10, 2015

• When will Biden decide? He's extended his timetable to "late September or early October, or possibly even later."
• According to whom? "Biden's aides," per AP.

October 1, 2015

• When will Biden decide? "Likely" in "the second half of October."
• According to whom? "people close to him," per CNN.

October 3, 2015

• When will Biden decide? "As early as within the next seven to 10 days" (hyped in headline as "in the next week").
• According to whom? "Three people familiar with his deliberations," per CBS News.

October 5, 2015

• When will Biden decide? "Next weekend, or shortly thereafter" (hyped in headline as "weekend decision").
• According to whom? "Confidants," per Politico.

October 16, 2015 (mid-afternoon)

• When will Biden decide? "Announcement that he's in race could leak out Sunday or Monday."
• According to whom? "Bidenworld," per New York magazine's Gabriel Sherman.

October 16, 2015 (late afternoon)

• When will Biden decide? "In the coming days," and "signs point to him running," though he "could still pull back."
• According to whom? "People familiar with the matter," per the Wall Street Journal.

October 19, 2015 (early morning)

• When will Biden decide? It "could come within 48 hours."
• According to whom? "Two sources," per NBC News.

October 19, 2015 (mid-morning)

• When will Biden decide? The timing of when he'd announce isn't clear, but "Vice President Biden is likely to run."
• According to whom? "Three solid sources," per Fox News.

October 19, 2015 (mid-afternoon)

• When will Biden decide? He's "genuinely undecided" and there's no timeline for a decision, but "time is nigh."
• According to whom? "A person involved in" Biden's deliberations, per ABC News's Jonathan Karl.

This piece has been updated with new anonymously sourced reports on Biden's decision-making process.

We're here to shed some clarity

One of our core beliefs here at Vox is that everyone needs and deserves access to the information that helps them understand the world, regardless of whether they can pay for a subscription. With the 2024 election on the horizon, more people are turning to us for clear and balanced explanations of the issues and policies at stake. We’re so grateful that we’re on track to hit 85,000 contributions to the Vox Contributions program before the end of the year, which in turn helps us keep this work free. We need to add 2,500 contributions this month to hit that goal. Will you make a contribution today to help us hit this goal and support our policy coverage? Any amount helps.

One-Time Monthly Annual

$5/month

$10/month

$25/month

$50/month

Other

$

Yes, I'll give $5/month

Yes, I'll give $5/month

We accept credit card, Apple Pay, and Google Pay. You can also contribute via